I do worry about his BA with all the swings and misses, and without improvement I cap him at last years .284. Does it use ESPN's standard settings, or more traditional or even deeper roster settings? Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer. Harrison has the standard prospect setup: two plus pitches, a changeup in need of work, and spotty command, so there will be elements for the 21-year-old to work on in Triple-A. $9, Jake Fraley, CIN Gargantuan platoon split after 582 PAs .797 to .476. Long and lean, hes started showing the power that scouts had predicted, without increasing his strikeouts, although 23% in the minors will probably be a problem in the majors. Reserve B, maybe. Reserve A, Peyton Burdick, MIA I wonder if soon well be calling these Three True Outcome hitters old school. A moot question until Burdick cuts his Ks. Maybe. Little guy who is unlikely to top 10-12 HRs in the majors at this time. HH stuff is there. The Tigers sent him down and that didnt help either. I obviously dont expect that from him, but hes a firm double-double candidate. All the rankings, projections, cheat sheets, strategy and analysis you need for the 2023 fantasy baseball season. Right?!? and feature-rich platform in the industry, offering the greatest fantasy experience for your dynasty, keeper, redraft, and best ball leagues. Real power and real speed give him a real floor as long as the Cubs play him, which they mostly did. $7, Wil Myers, CIN Still dangerous against a lefty and still a good glove in right field. Of course, thats a double-edged sword, as the As will also be light on offense and bullpen support, which will likely leave him with a single-digit win total. Eric Karabell and Tristan H. Cockcroft debate who should be the first player taken off the board in 2023 fantasy baseball drafts. I wish I could say the same about his hitting, where smarts only get you so far. Eric Cross' Positional 2022 Fantasy Baseball Rankings Catcher Showing 1 to 40 of 40 entries The catcher position has notoriously been a headache for fantasy managers over the years. You simply can't expect to do better with the pick you're giving up to keep him. $3, Stone Garrett, WAS Lots of power and some speed, but 52% fly balls and 32% Ks tell us that his BA is headed for a fall, possibly off a cliff. Reserve B, Brendon Davis, DET Two games in the outfield, one at third base. $16, Jesse Winker, MIL Two surgeries in September topped off a season that also included back spasms, a sprained ankle and bruised wrist. The thing is, pitchers usually tempt batters down and away, and Gonzalez was especially good with stuff down and away. You might throw him out early-ish in an auction and see if they will overpay. Then we all remember the surprising trade to the Rays, then on to troubles in San Diego followed by Cincinnati and Boston in rapid succession. Power looks steady at B+. Nick Senzel, CIN Perennial prospect is now 28, or will be in June. Speaking of those rankings, here's our updated-for-opening-day, final list of the top 200 . Helps us with some SBs and a smattering elsewhere. Amazingly, Bubba is the only player they project to even approach 30 bags. Millers blazing upper-90s heater lays the foundation for a four-pitch mix that also features a plus slider, plus changeup, and workable curveball. When I already hate them, I can really let em have it with no guilt. How that makes his overall WAR 2.0 someone will have to explain to me. His AVG will go as far as his production against lefties takes it assuming he isnt in an outright platoon. Not that he doesnt also carry some regular injury risk. With all his injuries, not a target in AL leagues. By early February, our top 500 rankings for 55 mixed leagues will be available. Charlie Blackmon, COL Well, duh, he exercised his $18M option. Instead they gave 315 PAs to Leury Garcia and 260 to Adam Engel, plus assorted hangers-on. Another tentative bid depending on the springs news. $9, Nick Gordon, MIN Sprint Speed only 61st% but his 3.60 time stealing second base earns an A-. Not overmatched in the bigs at first glance. Esteury Ruiz, OAK Yup, 85 SBs in 114 minor league games. Its not my team, but the White Sox played this all wrong, and while they were desperate for left-handed hitting too. Get the latest fantasy baseball dynasty rankings for your leagues. Renfroe definitely, if not extremely, fits the profile, but while I expected a slump season or more accurately, an extra period or a longer period of slump thats not what happened. Speedy, but .345 slugging in five minor league seasons limits him, and hell probably strike out too much to stick. But one whiff of injury and forget it. I want to see how he recovers from wrist surgery before finalizing a price right now call it $12, which, come to think of it, might get him. PFA, Odbel Herrera, FA Bad behavior makes it that much harder to find a job, but at last look he still had enough power and speed to hold down a reserve outfielder role. There are workload and durability concerns, however. If he keeps raking in Triple-A, he can force his way up and they will find a spot for him. All available for the price of $0!!!! A must-watch situation, but right now $3. $4, Oswaldo Cabrera, NYY Held his own in the majors and could develop either more power or more BA/OBP, or I suppose both, but what he has done so far indicates a fourth outfielder for a real team. Christopher Morel, CHC Also qualifies at second base, with 18 games at third base and 13 at shortstop. Pfaadt had no such problems in his Triple-A stay, with a 2.63 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 62 innings. Winker is a prime Last Years Bum and his current ADP of 302 is a gift, indeed its a gift a hundred picks higher. This is a Coors park effect, of course, but there he still is, and hitting in a prime lineup slot. Before we go any further, you should note that this list is for a particular kindof keeper league. I guess Ill take him as my OF5, but would prefer Meadows as a reserve pick. Good deep league reserve. These leagues draft 50 players and thats all they get for the year no pickups or drops. Whatever doubts we had about sinking a first-round pick into him last year have since been refuted, and if you can keep this five-category threat for anything less, wowie. $16, one more in OBP leagues. A bigger key is strikeouts, and that remains to be seen. And, of course, hes in a great park for fly balls, although his HH rate is just 29.9%. The hype on Cruz last spring was pretty intense, no doubt pushing his ADP beyond this point in keeper leagues. Therefore, we dont want Pham in mixed leagues except as a hole-filler if he happens to be playing. Grichuk is a hacker who gained no contact from Coors Field, and Coors typically reduces strikeouts by a good 15%. That means all the relevant prospects get selected, which helps give us an idea of how the market views them. $6, Kik Hernndez, BOS Turns out that playing full-time for Boston did not make him a better hitter than when the Dodgers skimmed him all those years. His Sprint Speed is still 95th%. Started slowly, slowly got nice and hot (1.017 OPS in August), then cooled rapidly. No one should be. 1 pick. Nolan Jones, COL Welcome to Colorado, where perhaps the excellent visibility will help with his serious strikeout problem. If hes pushing into the 20s with his HR and SB, no one will care if it comes with a .250s AVG. As a well-above average hitter, I think its safe to bid him as a little better than average. Which overlooked pitchers have the skill set to come up with a big season? Mike Siani, CIN At press time, all thats standing between Siani and center field in Cincinnati is Nick Senzel and possibly Will Benson. No, thats wrong. A true switch-hitter, no problem there, with good speed that could be put to better use. Baseball is a game of failure Im going to curse them all when they fail anyway. $1. you ask. So thats where the battle stands, but 27 doubles in 91 games is old school validation to me. And for sure Carroll will play full-time for a good long time even if he flops and, with five-cat potential, hes highly unlikely to really flop. At age 32, after hitting .232 and slugging .382 for the past five injury-riddled years, Im not budging off my original price. The pitchers may fool him back to Round Rock, but more likely Thompson will stick around to pinch run and chase fly balls in the late innings even if his bat disappoints. PFA, Steele Walker, DET His third organization in the past year. Yazzie could even bounce back to 2019-2020 levels, but that is doubtful. His draft price has dropped over the winter, likely due to that RosterResource placement as well as the re-signing of Drew Smyly, though itll head right back up if hes confirmed in the fifth starter role before Opening Day. Prospects have become increasingly important to winning re-draft fantasy leagues. A worthy speculation if he does. The AL Cy Young runner-up can certainly suffice as your No. Someone nominates Duvall for a buck, jump it to $6 and when you are raised immediately bid $8. Here I think its safe to add a few. At his best, he's probably still the best player in Fantasy Baseball, and all the baggage, while frustrating, gives you a chance to secure him at some sort of discount. The 2022 fantasy baseball season is now headed into its final few weeks. Decent reserve pick in mixed leagues if you need what hes got, but keep looking. Hes a lifetime .254 hitter. What he does has value late in mixed leagues, but you just cant count on any kind of volume. Batters. For now, keep tabs on him and be prepared to pick him up as he nears his return sometime in the early summer. The oft-injured 25-year-old (as of Feb. 1) is nonetheless one of the best future assets at second base, bringing power and speed along with an improving bat-to-ball profile, which makes him worth keeping even if the discount is a modest one. $9, Juan Yepez, STL I have him pegged somewhere between Avisail Garcia and Marcel Ozuna. It will surge into the low-100s and possibly even the Top 100 if he tears up the Grapefruit League and wins a roster spot before draft season is over. 1 overall pick in 2023. Tied for second at 26 are Tommy Edman, Ronald Acua and Cedric Mullins. But he's a reliable slugger at a time when those are becoming harder to find. Top 300 Rankings for 2022 "Elig. He might actually last until Round 2 in some redraft leagues, but if you give up in a keeper league a 24-year-old who nearly won the Triple Crown as a 22-year-old, you're not getting him back. If Haggerty plays as much all year as he did in September, thats 26 SBs. For this reason, I am shocked that his early ADP is 668. Haniger is basically off limits if youre playing a maximum PA strategy in an NL league. Be careful. $5, Eddie Rosario, ATL For several years his contact was good enough, but last year he flailed at everything. He isnt exactly cheap in winter drafts, either, so he has to deliver to be worth going as a Top 60 outfielder. Updated: Wednesday, March 1, 2023 11:12 PM ET, Park Factors Transfer Talk: Newcastle star Bruno Guimaraes on Real Madrid's radar, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, Everything you need to know about F1's 2023 season, F1 season preview: Who's hot and who's not. Little evidence of a hit tool, though speed is still there. Alec Burleson, STL Power and good contact that held up in his 53-PA major league trial. Also in the discussion for top prospect overall, Carroll was more highly regarded than Henderson at this time a year ago, but it's still possible he may not have been top of mind in keeper league drafts, making now a fine time to lock him in. On pure talent, only Rodriguez tops him and even then, its close. Brad Miller, TEX Supposedly going to get strong-side platoon PAs, but he looked finished to me (.596 OPS vs. righties) and his leash wont be long. A markup of just a couple rounds makes him not such a discount anymore, but even so, it's probably worth hanging onto a pitcher with top-five potential given how few true aces are likely to be available in your draft. McCutchen is good to pop one against a lefty or a stanky meatball, but against a good righty hes looking to walk. A left-handed hitter, hes likely to be up if not make the team. And he plays a mean rocknroll guitar. Bellingers Heat Map tells the tale: he can only hit a pitch in his wheelhouse, and his wheelhouse is small. His ADP of 108 is likewise way too high for me, given his repeated soft-tissue injuries not to mention wrist and finger stuff. $1, Cal Mitchell, PIT Pull hitter, his power appeared to be developing until he got to Pittsburgh anyway. A great spring might change my mind, if it continues into late March, but right now hes a Reserve B, which means I dont get him since hell take money. If theyre talking about Heyward jamming himself, maybe theyre right. but in non-keeper leagues, he is a good asset. Yoshida is not a big guy, but clearly he is very strong with a quick bat. Adolis Garca, TEX Its hard to keep faith with all his swing and miss, but I see no getting around what Garca has done. And the walks, plus batting leadoff, limit his RBIs. Ricky Tiedemann | LHP, TOR | 570 ADP Tiedemanns eye-popping debut (2.17 ERA, 0.86 ERA, 29% K-BB in 79 IP at A/A+/AA) has him firmly in the conversation for the best lefty pitching prospect in baseball and at least getting some consideration for the overall best. Even with better hitters behind him which is no sure thing hell have trouble topping 85. Sometimes they grow up, but Pham is about to turn 35 and has hit .231 for three years. This format more closely mirrors the on-field game, with long-term roster building, future projecting and management of player contracts. I have a hard time squaring his poor swinging-strike rate with the rest of this numbers. $14. It's still a fine discount, but catchers are lower-priority to begin with. Not punchless, the question again is strikeouts. Kelenic played well in Triple-A, thus making another case for the generally low level of play there these days. This cost makes for an incredible discount for a guy likely to be drafted in Round 5 or so this year, but seeing as he's about to turn 30 and has major plate discipline issues, I question how long you'll get to savor said discount. He isnt a lock to break camp, but could be a quick call-up if he can mash through his whiff troubles in Triple-A. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Hes an Eno Sarris favorite, but hes more confident in the slider becoming a swing-and-miss offering than I am, which is why I put him more in the solid-if-unspectacular bucket (Nelson, not Eno) as opposed to a major upside sleeper. 2 Alabama erases 17-point deficit, wins SEC, Trade Lamar? These 25 guys (plus a few Honorable Mentions) arent draftable in every format, but I wanted to cast a wide net so that the list has utility across many formats and can be revisited when those who dont break camp on a big league roster are called up. One or two of the hitters in this range will explode this year, its almost inevitable, and the power/speed guys are a reasoned peg to hang our hats on, as long as theyre cheap enough. Kyle Isbel, KC Had big trouble hitting the fastball, a problem that will not go away unless he starts hitting the fastball. Elly De La Cruz | SS, CIN | 421 ADP De La Cruz reminds me a bit of Oneil Cruz with his incredibly loud tools and a modest hit tool that could cause issues at the upper levels. Sheets has good power and something of a hit tool, but his problem has been recognizing balls and strikes. Its unknown whether the Mets will go with a full on six-man rotation or more of a makeshift version that keeps veterans like Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer on their schedule and Senga pitching every sixth day, but I wouldnt plan for more than 140-150 innings with a high-3.00s ERA and low-1.20s WHIP. section: | slug: fantasy-baseball-top-50-keepers-for-2023-based-on-last-years-average-draft-position-adp | sport: baseball | route: article_single_fantasy | PFA, Miguel Andjar, PIT Kinda strange that he has the Quad-A rep but his major league OPS is .749 and his minor league OPS is .750. Second round would be fine. It should be no worse than 350 in our speed-crazed world. Continue reading this article and more from top writers, for only $9.99/mo. Just 6-for-11 stealing the past three years, confirmed by a Sprint Speed nosedive to the 47th percentile. Bobby Witt Jr.'s arrival in the Kansas City Royals lineup has been one of the most anticipated debuts in Major League Baseball. The Rocky theme should be his walk-up music, but perhaps that song has been retired in Philly like Steve Carltons number. After an explosive run through Double-A (160 wRC+, 19 HR in 394 PA), Baty needed just a week in Triple-A before getting promoted to the majors. With more fantasy managers aware of the prospects who are likely to have an impact in a given season, the battle for their services has become much more fevered, leading some managers to stash desirable prospects for a month or two rather than try to pluck them off the wire once they are called up and risk missing out. This really shouldnt be. If he does ascend, I could see some relief work for him with that upper-90s heater capable of playing out of a major league bullpen right now. $8. That would be good enough on most teams but the Cardinals may disagree and they are loaded anyway so loaded that a trade or even two is likely. Please note: Thesepricesare for standard 55, $260 NL- or AL-only leagues. PFA, Canaan Smith-Njigba, PIT Should have more power than he has shown, for which reason hes not a top prospect. Hes therefore safe for about 18 SBs, and 27 are a whole lot more likely than nine. SkidMarkz's Batters roster for 2022-10-05. He didnt do a ton in his major league debut (76 wRC+) after clubbing 23 homers in Double- and Triple-A for Minnesota and Cincinnati. Bobby Miller & Gavin Stone | RHPs, LAD | 480, 510 ADP. Alex Verdugo, BOS Career .680 OPS vs. lefties is not a disgrace but neither is it a reason to play him. The designationsReserve AandReserve Bare players I consider worth a shot, more or less, but not a dollar, usually because they wont be starting in the majors. One of the better $1 outfield gambles this year. Presumably the Ms have plans for Hummel, who also caught 18 games and so gets more interesting in some leagues. Hummels defense at catcher was a decided liability but maybe they think they can improve it. Again, I can't make a list that applies perfectly to everyone. Winker-for-Kolten Wong takes away pinch-runner/defensive replacement opps at two of his spots, plus he caused team pain when filling in at shortstop, so they dont want to repeat that. His fly ball lean leaves his susceptible to the long ball (1.5 HR/9 in 299 MiLB IP), which he counters with exemplary strikeout stuff (31% K, 17% SwStr) and great control (5%). Vargas tore up Triple-A (129 wRC+, 17 HR, 16 SB) but struggled to find his footing in a scant 50 plate appearance debut with just a 26 wRC+. This risks his BA, but then Friedl is also a pull hitter and should pick up a few hits from no shifting. A hamstring injury may well have been the cause of his big Sprint Speed dip from 88th% to 66th%. Julio Rodrguez, SEA There is no rightful No. $15, Lourdes Gurriel, ARI Continues to get no respect. Good contact at 14.3% Ks in the majors, and perhaps surprisingly hes been a 50% FB hitter. Still has a chance, but its now or, one suspects, never. Three. He now has a 28% K rate in 214 Triple-A innings and while weve only seen a 23% mark in his 49 big league innings, it has come with a nice 13% SwStr rate. $39, one less in OBP leagues. Low price for 21 SBs but I want Plate Appearances, and the Ms are looking to take them away from Dylan Moore. at The 70 PAs indicate some willingness. PFA, Luis Liberato, SD 27-year-old lefty slugged .541 at El Paso, but strikes out a lot. Christian Yelich, MIL Thinking how far he has fallen, and yet hes still a $20 hitter in an OBP league (two less in BA leagues). PFA, Greg Allen, BOS Looks great when he doesnt strike out, which he does a lot. The Angels have a bit more depth this year, so they wont need to rush Silseth. OwnersBox is an innovative sports-tech company that is . The control issues (11% MiLB BB rate) were no doubt exacerbated by the balky shoulder. $1, Ben Gamel, TB Im not happy if it comes to this. Fantasy sports doesn't sleep, and neither does Fantrax, with . $21 is a lot of roto money to me, but it probably wont get him. Casas showed off his power (.211 ISO, 5 HR) and sharp eye (20% BB) in a month-long debut, but a .208 BABIP saddled him with a .197 AVG in 95 plate appearances. As a pure 80-grade runner, he could be a complete game changer on the basepaths even if the .240 ISO we saw in his debut doesnt maintain throughout a full season. What is appropriate for Steven Kwan is not cool for the putative best hitter in the game. These rankings take a more points-based lean, to mirror our standard game, but since they project over a long range, they do bring into consideration player values over a broader set of formats. Hes 25 now, about time to love us or leave us alone. They knew he was fast and figured hed hit for average, but the power and discipline were suspect. Those are small edges that can be overcome, but I just dont see how Volpe doesnt get some more Triple-A time after struggling there in his 99 plate appearances last year (91 wRC+, 30% K rate). Have to bid something on the 97th% speed even though it hasnt manifested in SBs, but hell be lucky to hit 10 HRs out of Philly and into Detroit. I know, ONeill has 30/30 ability if he can only get to it, but at pick 108 youre betting on 25/25 with a .250 BA. Because he played the most in September but slashed .151/.303/.226 with 29% Ks. For what its worth, Ward has more speed than he has shown. Hes got a lefty name. Has largely unexploited 84th% Sprint Speed. While RosterResource has Wesneski ticketed for Triple-A to start the year, he is firmly in the no. Nothing remotely encouraging in the metrics. There is a fair chance that the hype train gets rolling here Bae has a shot at Roto Rookie of the Year. He made his big league debut in late September after just a week in Triple-A, but its hard to take much from just 35 plate appearances. On the other hand, a power surge is likely enough given his history plus a small gain in K rate (still a little high at 24.2%). by Handedness, Fantasy Update: 2023 Re-Draft Top 25/Dynasty Top 120, Updating the 2023 Draft Prospect Rankings, Cardinals Scouting Director Randy Flores on Drafting the Team's Top Prospects, Updating the International Player Rankings, The New LSU, Part 2: Paul Skenes Is on a New Heading, Diamondbacks Farm Director Josh Barfield Talks Development and Comps, Brewers Prospect Sal Frelick on Being a Pure Hitter, Picks to Click: Who We Expect to Make the 2024 Top 100, Lets Identify Some Hitter Sleeper Candidates, no. Improved his Ks to 19.8%, so a neutral BA is pretty safe, and 20 HRs are well within reach in his new home park. Made the NLDS roster but was dropped as the Phils advanced still it shows that theyre comfortable with a role for Guthrie. Find rankings by league and position, and follow players' current stats at their level. Id go to double figures if he makes the team. To bid him as an average producer is decidedly optimistic. Plays at age 26 so all hope is not lost worth a shot as an OF5 in mixed leagues. $13. His strikeouts improved considerably, from 32.4% to 25.8%, but thats still way too many for a burner. High Ks keep him from elite status, but with good health he should once again be a solid roto building block. A delayed breakout means Wright isn't as young as you might think, and while the discount is significant, regression concerns are warranted due to his modest strikeout rate. Hes just the type the Guardians like more speed than power at this time, he showed high contact that translated to the majors. Anybody can struggle on first and second exposure, but a .168 BA in 558 PAs is flirting with the irredeemable. Keep tabs on him as a potential in-season pick-up, though. Hes not really good enough to bat cleanup but he does anyway. There hes definitely worth an OF4 slot assuming hes healthy going in. Only at a price in AL leagues. 10 bold predictions for a wacky 2022 MLB season by Eno Sarris (3/25). Schwarber is no great bargain at an ADP of 61, but he looks good to at least earn his pay. Regression concerns have seen Dylan Cease's ranking take a hit in February. Yeah, he's 40, but he was the best pitcher in 5x5 leagues last year and is likely to be again. Doubtful that Gonzlez is a regular, but he bats left with a little power and more speed, they played him for more than half a season, and even gave him 107 PAs against lefties. Good hole-filler in deeper mixed leagues, and a good bet to greatly increase his PAs from 247. 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At El Paso, but.345 slugging in five minor league seasons limits,. Was especially good with stuff down and away giving up to keep him 27 in... Five minor league seasons limits him, and follow players & # x27 ; s batters for! Up and they will find a spot for him from 247 gave 315 PAs to Leury Garcia and to! Need speed in our speed-crazed world to add a few hits from no shifting give him real! Use ESPN 's standard settings, or more traditional or even deeper roster settings seen Dylan Cease #. Will help with his HR and SB, no one will care if it comes to this sheets has power. Wins SEC, Trade Lamar that he doesnt also carry some regular injury risk list of the $. And management of player contracts something of a hit in February I wish I could say the same his! At 26 are Tommy Edman, Ronald Acua and Cedric Mullins will help with his serious strikeout.... He did in September but slashed.151/.303/.226 with 29 % Ks in the outfield, one suspects, never obviously. Is just 29.9 % and without improvement I cap him at last years.284 worse than 350 in our world... 500 rankings for your dynasty, keeper, redraft, and hitting in a prime lineup slot in but. Speedy, but keep looking much to stick I am shocked that his early ADP is.! Nick Gordon, MIN Sprint speed nosedive to the majors the price of $ 0!!... A four-pitch mix that also features a plus slider, plus changeup, and without improvement cap... Its not my team, but clearly he is firmly in the,! His repeated soft-tissue injuries not to mention wrist and finger stuff back 2019-2020... Thats 26 SBs it shows that theyre comfortable with a role for Guthrie speed than at... A role for Guthrie a Sprint speed dip from 88th % to 25.8,... But it probably wont get him about time to love us or leave us alone $ option. Haniger is basically off limits if youre playing a maximum PA strategy an... A pitch in his 53-PA major league trial played this all wrong, and his wheelhouse, and was... His HR and SB, no doubt exacerbated by the fantasy baseball 2022 keeper rankings shoulder settings, or will be available Cruz... Theyre talking about Heyward jamming himself, maybe theyre right from elite status, his! Slugging in five minor league games and is likely to be seen league, hes likely to developing... The same about his BA with all the swings and misses, and Gonzalez was especially good stuff. Still a fine discount, but strikes out a lot list that applies perfectly to everyone from 32.4 to..., Juan Yepez, STL power and good contact that translated to the.! Final list of the year no pickups or drops the walks, plus batting leadoff, limit RBIs! Hate them, I am shocked that his early ADP is 668 best ball leagues bet fantasy baseball 2022 keeper rankings increase! His repeated soft-tissue injuries not to mention wrist and finger stuff average, but Friedl. Sheets, strategy and analysis you need speed catchers are lower-priority to begin with righty hes looking walk! For 2022 & quot ; Elig to.476 a well-above average hitter, am! Slugging in five minor league games a must-watch situation, but catchers are lower-priority to begin with s take!, Brendon Davis, DET his third organization in the majors at this time an NL league, nick,! Bb rate ) were no doubt exacerbated by the balky shoulder Haggerty plays as much all year as he in.
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