There is a statement that I adhere to, and it is Roosevelt when he was Secretary of State in 1921 basically admitted he knew Japan would eventually attack America, (due to the way the West had treated Japan, that would be the British, Dutch and the Americans) he just didnt know when. The two-minute-long advert suggests that the Chinese government has been working with Australian politicians in buying businesses on the countrys shores. What am I missing? Also I have no understanding at all of international politics. As US media host Glenn Beck, has pointed out already, China already has first pick of the best and cheapest oil, starting in its own backyard of Russia., so as you readers can guess, America can no longer compete, as it no longer has access to the worlds cheapest oil. Another important contributing factor, which a possible adversary is likely to take into account, is the combined fighting potential of the ADF. According to the ADFs Annual Report 201920, in mid-2020 the combined strength of the Australian military (permanent standing force and reservists, including Service Category 2 that are not rendering service and may be called on as required) was about 92,000 personnel. Tensions between Beijing and Canberra have been heightened in recent months by a trade war and a blame game over the . I do not see China repeating the British industrial revolution or the colonial pretensions that followed it. ASIO chief David Irvine says the threat to Australia is now a very elevated level of medium and could hes seriously considering upping it to high. New York: Monthly Review Press, 2002, 217. Acknowledging the obvious generalizations that are present in the political deliberations and in the comments of Senator Lambie, there is a need to examine what is pushing the underlying tone of the debate, and then driving the discussion. As the late ex-PM, Mr Fraser warned us, dont count on America in saving Australia, from an potential attack from China, America can no longer even save itself ! These aircraft would be out of fuel and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Dr Huisken said. War is inevitable. This has been done with unconditional fiscal contributions (loans). Australians must never forget how the 14 conditions delivered to Australia by China would change this nation forever. Over 50 per cent of that force (some 50,000 personnel) would staff combat and support land force formations in the initial phase of a hypothetical conflict. The coming state-of-affairs for Australia will be one surviving the numerous upcoming protracted and friction-filled escalations and the ever-greater political and military demands China will inevitably make. There is an accommodation that will need to be given over to China and a significant point to focus upon is to observe an historical element, and to realize within it lies a chilling and changing demographic. Such a distribution of both human and physical core infrastructure offers a technologically advanced and militarily superior adversary a multitude of opportunities, ranging from political-military blackmail in times of heightened geopolitical crisis, to limited or large-scale offensive operations in times of war. The question of what type of war the ADF should be prepared to fight represents one of the ongoing points of debate in Canberra and beyond. [10] Angus Madisson. The Xiaoping era would be the first quantum leap into a globalized world and would signal significant domestic and international changes this was defined by Xiaoping as socialism with a Chinese character.[9] China was essentially, thrust into a Western world and it would over time exploit the free market, gain international political astuteness, and in the late-1990s, begin to stamp its geo-strategic authority on the world: the A-P region is its first port-of-call. A war . The wild claims continue later in the advert, with former Royal Australian Navy commander Phil Collins saying it has the facilities to support and sustain large-scale naval operations. CAMP FOSTER, Okinawa A former Japanese military officer recently made waves after saying he believes China plans to invade and annex Taiwan by 2025 and Okinawa by 2045. I agree that corporatisation is our greatest threat and the problem is that only governments can protect us by way of regulation. For example, the ADF can ensure command superiority by protecting its own communications, command, control, computers, intelligence and interoperability (C2I4) structures, systems and networks from hostile disruptive operations, while denying an adversary the ability to utilise theirs. The way things are going the US is in some sort of decline and is going to have serious internal problems if they dont get rid of the ultra conservative Tea Party influence in Washington. But is it? On the other hand, China deploys a comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries. It can also enhance themoral readiness and the determination of troops to fight and win under any circumstances, including unfavourable battle conditions (for example, in the absence of air superiority or sustained logistics). The reason this is not probable is the state-of-affairs regarding invasion are dictated by sheer logistics and materil requirements for an invasion to succeed and then be sustained. Updated at 01.00 EST But the YouTube video has been met with criticism from experts. Chinas dominance is that of being a global geo-political and geo-strategic actor and thus, current preponderance in the A-P is only the first step, and an even stronger global military presence will follow. In the process of the IRs momentum the British government had to meet ever greater demands from its populace. Agree also with Trevor that it is a hark back to the old beware of the yellow peril days. And moreover, it has used force in the process of making nations adhere to Western principles. Overall, this has been successful as poverty has fallen from 26% in 2007 to 7% in 2012. A superior military air force could, in effect, control all of Western Australias resources in the Pilbara and the North West Shelf gas reserves.. A sad state of affairs. In the first instance an Asian nation has never presented such a symbolic threat to Western hegemony; and secondly, never has an Asian nation had the actual potential to follow through in a sustained/long tern way with military force. No Australian Government can or could begin this journey to peace as all the present shitstems operations are to fuel war cause war is big business. Also our most northern city, Darwin (or Wolf Creek) is a complete joke ! What is happening in China, and has been exponentially expanding in the past decade, is the PRC has set about accomplishing exactly what the West has done for centuries: developing a strong middle-class. China will be a vastly different case to what the West has previously encountered and then dominated, as it has adopted the Wests interests in being a regional as well as global controller and therefore the case of China is completely different than what has gone before in the power-stakes of the twentieth century. ADM's Defence Industry Guide is published in print edition every 6 months. This article was first posted on Strobes blog Geo-Strategic Orbit and has been reproduced with permission. The power, wealth and influence of many multi-nationals now exceeds that of many developed nations and their influence grows exponentially by the day. Sign up to the Daily Star's newsletter. But I will leave that to your own research if you happen to see peace as an alternative to war and the arming for war as an economic backbone to western civilisation in the 21st century. The rhetoric of our warmongering PM and Foreign Minister put us in more danger of invasion from a variety of countries than the twittering of the PUP ratbags. Analysts say the threat of China on Australia's doorstop isn't about invasion; it's about much more immediate short-term concerns, such as Beijing improving intelligence gathering and monitoring. Dear Jaquie, please define what you consider to be statesmanship. We are proud, as with every other Ukrainian in Australia, to proclaim that Ukraine stands: Ukraine stands strong, Ukraine stands proud, and, most importantly, Ukraine stands free. Just buy the bastards and their debt out. Required fields are marked *, Attachment The maximum upload file size: 2 MB. Dr Strobe Driver reports. Its attempts to economically coerce Australia into its geopolitical orbit should disturb. China could invade Taiwan later this year, top Navy officer warns By Caitlin Doornbos October 21, 2022 12:14pm Updated 0 of 58 secondsVolume 0% 00:00 00:58 China could invade Taiwan as. Sydney: Murdoch Press. Chinas current options of attacking Australia are limited, and are also linked to the question of whether Beijing will rely on strategic bluff (i.e whether it assumes no retaliation will come its way). !! Nations that acceded to British demands, either as a protectorate that was accorded all of the security and safety Britain could muster or, alternately, Britain used force. Selling more and more of our assets (mineral companies and FREEHOLD farming land) is moving the country to a checkmate position with China controling its assets. A superior force could, by definition, prevail in any circumstances, but flying combat aircraft into these company airfields is sensational nonsense, he said. Australia is playing a key role in the global fight against Russia, something all Australians should be proud of, says a leading MP. There is also the strategic dilemma of allied relations and subsequent wartime commitments, following the Trump administration's damage to US reliability as a security guarantor. The inherent problems of continuous growth notwithstanding, what is happening in China today happened in Great Britain as the latter part of the Industrial Revolution (IR) gained momentum circa 1800 onwards. [13] James Lee Ray and Ayse Vural. To be sure, this is a step further than the fiscal invasion of the Chinese that was hinted at prior to the election of the Abbott government, which directly dealt with the number of Chinese investments in Australia especially with regard to landholdings/farming which was driven by the somewhat xenophobic Nationals under the guise and umbrella of who owns what in Australia. Free market squabbling aside, and the prejudices inherent within this argument about the marketplace, the issue that needs to be examined is whether there is a modicum of truth in what Lambie has stated. This is the real war. I worry far less about invasion from China that I do about our impending loss of sovereignty caused by the ongoing corporatisation of the world. WILD: An Australian politician has made a bizarre claim about a small airstrip in the desert, IMPORTANT: The video pointed out the airstrip's proximity to the port of Cape Preston. [10] Herein lies the problem that Australia in the first instance and the Western world in the second, will have to face: if China is not offered a more prominent of rightful place in the schemata of world strategies/politics a massive disruption will occur as China will react to any moves by other nation-states to retard its progress. The heretofore hidden fears that reside alongside the mercantile arena of profit and the food bowl debates within the Asia-Pacific (A-P) have evolved into the public arena. Sink all, People seem to overlook the changes made by Whitlam that, As we all know policies continue to impact for some, We have an AUKUS partner who is capable of blowing, I believe Jenny doesn't want him hanging around the house, GL, Spudito and the Caviar Club down to their last, "Isnt sticking together what assimilation is all about ?" China is Australia's largest trading partner, making up 30 per . What is bound to happen in the near future however, is the A-P region will become increasingly contested, and the disputes will become protracted. These cursory examples prove the West has made, and remade, the platform upon which good governance is judged. War and the arming for war is the defining rationale behind the (dominant) Western Economies. The Islands that Japan is arguing over were residue of second world war negotiations in which the pre-war possessions should eventually return to China. Australia must be willing to invade the Solomon Islands and topple its government if that's what is necessary to stop a proposed security pact between China and the Pacific nation going ahead . Ill give a dollar to anyone who actually read all that. Time and again it has been demonstrated that invasion does not work. The question of fuel deposits, which has to be replenished regularly, remains. Have to say this article is laced heavily with pessimism and fear mongering and while perhaps philosophical in its undertaking, it doesnt hit the mark. In the meantime China will continue to invade Australia from an economic perspective and this will have a triad attached: to enable China to exert influence on regional strategic partnerships; to establish China and A-P multilateral deals that actively encourage the use of the Renminbi (sometimes called the Yuan), as a source of collateral; and to pro-actively downgrade Australia-US military commitments and partnerships. Recently the Obama administration has gone to great lengths to reassure Australia it is committed to keeping a geo-strategic and political presence in the region with a recent visit by Secretary of State Kerry and a reiteration of wanting to rebalance Asia. [8] Gabriel Kolko. We pay our respect to Elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. [3] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914 Australia Network News, 26 June, 2014. In parallel with this the other issue for Australia will be whether Australia is also able to fend off Americas increasing desperation to maintain its traditional post-WWII foothold as it too, and in order to fulfil its rebalancing claims, must enter the regional quarrels. An Australian Institute survey of 1,000 people each in Australia and Taiwan found one in 10 Australians believed China would invade their country "soon" compared to one in 20 Taiwanese people. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it," Mr Shugart warns. China has issued yet another warning to Australia following its participation in a seven-day naval exercise with French, US and Japanese allies. The shock of this state-of-affairs resides in Western nation-states and Western European-centric nations Australia and America, and to some extent Japan are included is included in this mix have been privy to, over the past several centuries is watching the slow but sure rise of Western Europe as a force. As Europe became a force it has incrementally been able to dictate its version of what government and governance should comprise of to the rest of the world. The old Roman claim si vis pacem, para bellum if you want peace, prepare for war - is as relevant now as before, and is yet to be answered with confidence. Try again. The creation of the Sovereign Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise is supposed to address some of these concerns. Everyone is doing it hard at present. After the next decade for Australia all will not be so secure. Returning to the initial centrepiece of Lambies argument and notion of whether Australia is in danger of being invaded in the traditional sense of the term. It's a position intended to ensure Australia's voice is heard in US halls of power, policy making and strategic thought. From the big bad Toniorists. When Australia had the temerity to call for an independent inquiry into the origins of COVID-19 last year, China was incensed. On 23 April this year, Chinese President Xi Jinping showed off the PLA Navy's production capacity by commissioning at a single ceremony the Hainan amphibious assault ship, the Changzheng-18 nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine, and the Dalian destroyer. And that was when I was a child !! Operationally and tactically the ADF should ready to function in a combat setting where no domain control is guaranteed against a superior and determined enemy, who may also be less susceptible to sustaining heavy losses. China must be offered a bigger role in the Asia-Pacific. The Age, Melbourne: Fairfax Publishing Ltd, 10 June, 2014, 16. To be sure the French before Britain used this method, and since post-1945 the US has followed a similar trajectory with its domination of world markets through the Marshall Plan, the Bretton-Woods agreement which allowed America to essentially dominate the worlds free market, are examples of heavy-handed polity. 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News By Simon Green Assistant Editor (Digital) 15:20, 15 FEB 2019 Updated 20:17, 15 FEB 2019 Video Loading United Australia Party leader warns of Chinese takeover The problems that will influence the US lack of enthusiasm to intervene in the A-P will range from the sheer distance from the US and of it being a China-controlled environment; intractable domestic and regional dealings with Mexico and the South Americas associated with drugs, migration and political trends; the combined economic, geo-political and in some cases geo-strategic influences of what has become colloquially known as the BRICS, (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa); the ongoing and increasing demands of, and ties to, Israel in a continuously fractious Middle East; and the immersion of energy, politics, and geo-strategies of the stans of Central AsiaKazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Afghanistan. [14] David Tweed and Sangwon Yoon. Nevertheless, being a minister of parliament does demand a level of tact and discretion that was obviously lacking on the night in question and there has been some repercussions, but other than hurt feelings not much more seems to have eventuated an apology was forthcoming and all appears smooth again. Whoops that cant be right. Reduction of our options, in order to protect a Foreign Interest and our consideration of the other options open to us, is most likely. I see China recovering its position as the premier country in Asia and re-establishing its control, or influence where control was not required, over the countries in its periphery. The time of this dominance is coming to an end, as China is on the rise. And as we are such a heavily multi-cultural community, I dont think anyone notices anymore, whos who or where they came from, except maybe for their accents. Maybe try deceptive lying capitalist pigs. If the Chinese could not bring fuel, spare parts and munitions to these airfields the aircraft would immediately be candidates for the war museum in Canberra.. Some critics argue that China has an ageing population, that is correct, but also China has a growing Middle-class and needs/wants more resources, and the resources from neighbouring Russia wont be enough! Great that you are back, lord, Did you not remember: What a low life greedy bloody effing wanker! Your contribution to help with the running costs of this site will be gratefully accepted. In that effort, China "really got a bloody nose, it was not a very successful operation," director of the Asia program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States Bonnie Glaser said. A new survey released Tuesday by the Lowy Institute, a foreign policy research group, found only a slim majority of Australians supported military action in the event of a Chinese invasion of . Driven by the need to close the capability gap with their Russian counterparts, with which the PLA trains regularly and takes its inspiration from, it will be some time before its Airborne Corps will be able to support long distance strategic assault operations. Doing that will improve the security outlook here by a great measure. The implications for Australia beyond 2025 onwards are not as assured and this will be due to the fact that as China continues to rise the US will continue to decline and therefore, the US will have become a significantly lesser threat. In the process of the West winning however, there has also been double-standards along the way which have undermined the faith and confidence in Western governance and the damage this has caused should not be underestimated. Part of the danger Australia faces in the future as China moves out into the world, is that the world will have to accommodate the PRCs needs, and by necessity its people. The last time the PLA was in active combat was in 1979, when China fought a brief border war with Vietnam. On the other side of the ledger we have people who deride any concerns as alarmist, the fish bowl syndrome. Youll like it even more knowing that your donation will help us to keep up the good fight. Beijing could be doubting its ability to invade Taiwan considering Russia's attempts at invading Ukraine, according to CIA Director William Burns. AAP/AP/Ritchie B. Tongo. As other commentators have pointed out, economic invasion is far more likely than military action. [6] Paul Monk. A significant part of the reason the rise of China, and the subsequent actions of the PRC government have become so chilling, and the reason the invasion word was used by Senator Lambie, is twofold. Fairfax Media: Melbourne, 11 August, 2011, 13. All of the its fighting elements are in the process of qualitative force transformations, which would continue to provide the ADFs operators with the technological edge. CMMC, I fully agree with your summation,perfect.Could not have put it clearer myself. It saddens me that our governments are so imbecilic that they cannot see past their current term or the noses on their faces and are selling out future generations. Who should take the blame for the current dismal outlook. Its how you play with your mind not weapons that matters. @ stephengb: I cannot hep wondering why discussions about taxation. For Russia, China and India this looks like a win/win. September 16, 2022 - 1:07AM China could potentially invade Taiwan in the next decade and Australia could be come a key target in the conflict that would follow. Moreover, China has continued to exercise its perceived regional rights with relative impunity; and the PRC recently rejected a US proposal to decrease tensions over the disputed territories,[14] and these are further signs the days of absolute control for the US are over. History, and moreover recent history, is littered with examples of the type of military engagement Senator Lambie is identifying. The power generation and water desalination plant, together with the bunker fuel capacity, provide the necessary logistics to provide a large ground force equipped with heavy equipment, he adds. US secretary of State John Kerry uses Asia-Pacific to redouble focus on region. Australia Network News, 14 August, 2014 http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-14/john-kerry-focuses-on-pivot-to-asia-pacific-at-end-of-region/5671992?section=world. China knows America is getting weaker by the day, owns most of the US debt and will demand America to pay back the debt or China will cripple America economically (no more cheap loans). Dr. Driver has presented a good report but I am not sure if she read it-maybe it is because her skills do not extend that far. The most astonishing assertion by one analyst was that "Australia has a fundamental strategic pathology - to support the interests of the U.S. at the expense of our own. We acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. This is especially daunting for Taiwan, as it is unclear whether it can get help from anyone else if, or when, the time comes. thank goodness Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours. With all the talk of hurting Russia economically a Western European expert said theres the very real chance Russia will turn to China, and China wont hesitate to step into the breech. [2] Hugh White. THE world's superpowers will be thrown into chaos, the US will loosen its grip on global power and the war on IS will end by 2020. In short, Senator Lambies outburst is largely accurate, premature perhaps, but based on British and American preponderance, accurate nevertheless. Pure Ideological myopia driven by self-interested alliances and not fact. When it comes to assessing a countrys fighting potential on a comparative basis, a number of major contributing factors needs to be taken into account. War is a fools game and China knows it. The evidence-base for this outcome is also in the history of the West. Its TERRORISM people. Invasions by the Soviets into Chechnya, the United States of America (US) into Iraq, the North Atlantic Treaty Organisations (NATO) troops and their allies incursion into Afghanistan, the recent Israeli invasion into Gaza, and the Islamic State (a non-state actor) being successful in northern Iraq, all offer and reinforce a broad-based understanding of what invasions can actually accomplish and also offer an insight into why they are embarked upon. Thankyou for your comments, very robust and informative for me. This is particularly evident with respect to the basing of major assets, command and training facilities of the RAN, which are largely massed in the Sydney and Perth areas. But the nation is not in a good place. Enter your email address to subscribe to The AIMN and receive notifications of new posts by email. Firstly, China has insufficient capacity to wage long distance assault operations. I agree wholeheartedly Trevor, though I cant see things changing unless Australia disengages from the US and makes its own waywe will be drawn into a conflict at the behest of the US, if only to test Chinas repose and manoeuvrings. Look at her picture and there you will see the face of extremism, ignorance and arrogant racism. Another potential problem that the ADF may face in this scenario is endurance, particularly if Australia is fighting alone. It led, Australian Alliance for Animals Media Release Fate of Koalas Hangs in Balance as, Ok, I had trouble with the punctuation for the title. However, the current world conflicts seem to be escalating all at the same time so I am starting to pay attention. [12] This illustrates the US is keen to keep one step ahead of China in the region. One thing is for sure, China does not need to invade Australia. The CIA believes President Xi Jinping would be unsettled by Vladimir Putin's disastrous invasion of Ukraine, casting doubt about his own military's ability to take Taiwan by force in the near . Blunt threats made in Chinese mainstream media, and more recent remarks by an Australian senator- that the ADF is unlikely to last even a few days in a high-end conflict with China - warrant yet another examination of Australias strategic circumstances and the likelihood of an attack on mainland Australia. Their own currencies gain prestige, giving their governments more political and military muscle. As he put it, "It's not been an easy decision for me but it is. Something went wrong, please try again later. At any rate Australia is in trouble. Western Economies I fully agree with your summation, perfect.Could not have put it clearer myself, 16, their... Fought a brief border war with Vietnam the platform upon which good governance is judged how you with. 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West has made, and remade, the platform upon which good governance is judged contributions loans. Its how you play with your mind not Weapons that matters the security outlook here by trade! I was a child! it even more knowing that your donation will us. Its how you play with your summation, perfect.Could not have put,. Deride any concerns as alarmist, the current world conflicts seem to be statesmanship complete joke a brief border with. Some form of Hitler Youth when will china invade australia to spy on their neighbours put it, & quot Mr! Lee Ray and Ayse Vural independent inquiry into the origins of COVID-19 last year, China was incensed 14 delivered. Email address to subscribe to the old beware of the ADF may face this. That was when I was a child! a dollar to anyone who actually read all that China the... History of the ledger we have people who deride any concerns as alarmist, the fish bowl syndrome by alliances! Print edition every 6 months Australia to subdue it, & quot ; Mr warns. Time the PLA was in active combat was in active combat was in 1979, when fought... Inquiry into the origins of COVID-19 last year, China has insufficient capacity to wage long distance operations.
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